I posted this at the
feedback forum at eBay but it was killed by staff less than a
minute later. I should have known. My ID will be toast soon
anyway. This was the only other place I thought where my
statement might have an impact. Do with it what you will. After
Chicago, my only desire is to be heard.
There will be those
who will not believe me and I sympathize. I wish the facts were
fiction but to deny what I know would be to live in a fairyland
of make-believe. I understand that the bulk of this “manifesto”
reveals a plot so against the spirit of eBay that it will be
dismissed as lie. So be it. I cannot force the world to accept
it. All I can do is state the truth as I know it and leave it
to you and to your common sense and experience to judge.
The
deck is stacked against me. Aside from the natural resistance
to believe I know that the boards are stocked with eBay’s
tools. Their goal will be to discredit me. I will be accused of
being
a “disgruntled”, “paranoid”, and
“emotional” seller. Their words will be specially
chosen for effect. That is part of the function of the tools
and I am
not fazed by it. However, to protect my own identity within the
corporation, I cannot be too specific lest the details single
me out to the powers that be.
What I intend to reveal is
common knowledge to many in the management division behind the
scenes.
By the way, the tools are not only the mouthpieces
that promote the policies. The psychological tactics employed
by the powers that be are far deeper and grander than that. The
subtlety of the method is remarkable. The tools come in a wide
range of flavors with their own, individual “characteristic”
rhetoric. From those who are “for” the policy - and
spread various degrees of hostility toward the sellers - to
those who are “against” the change - and spread
panic and further the divide with the buyers. Both serve the
same exact purpose: a manipulation designed to remove the more
involved and savvy small to large sellers who will not fit into
eBay’s future business plan.
First, let me correct the
record regarding the concept of sellers extorting positive
feedback. While the violation was known to happen, the activity
amounted to less than a tenth of a percent of the yearly
transactions. Further, it involved sellers whose feedback
percentages were below 80%. The absolute majority of sellers
did not engage in such practices. Nevertheless, the powers that
be could not resist the fact that promoting this notion of
feedback extortion as a wide-spread phenomenon would be the
perfect cover with which to hide the true intentions of the
policy.
The powers that be want to transform eBay into an
overstock warehouse venue. A kind of outlet store for the
internet much like a cheaper and streamlined version of Amazon.
From a strictly business point of view, given the size of eBay
and the growing costs of doing business, it makes a certain
kind of sense to shift gears. Think about it: when eBay
started, sellers were about rare and unique items but here and
now the majority of items are common, used counterparts of what
can be found new online at retail sites. Truly rare and unique
items are sold at real auctions; the “stuff in your
attic” isn’t glamorous enough and won’t keep
eBay afloat any longer.
The trend away from the rare and
unique to the big box retailer is not new. Several years ago
the powers that be noticed that the big “powersellers”
were simply listing items that existed in their retail stores
or inventories. Thus the concept of “buy it now”,
“best offer”, and “eBay stores” were
created. It was the nascent stage of the plan yet to be. Little
by little, without the population noticing, the mechanisms
required to replicate the average retail storefront were
already in place - and with its rise came the slow, steady
downfall of the auction format.
Yet outright pursuit of a
retail venue would have led to a major problem that at the time
could not have been surmounted. The vast majority of people, on
and off line, know eBay as precisely the place for auctions of
rare and unique items. The sellers and buyers held onto that
perception too but in truth their opinion even involvement in
new and improved version of eBay is irrelevant by a certain
Machiavellian calculation made by the powers that be. As part
of the plan, eBay calculated thus: even if they lost the
sellers as part of the change, the buyers will be coming back
to buy regardless of who or what operated within the
retail-outlet venue.
No, it was the stock holders who the
powers that be feared.
Only the stockholders had the power
to change the direction set forth by the CEO and the board. So
it became imperative to change the equation. Part of the plan
is to devalue the stock gradually so that investors merely
dumped the stock as opposed to wanting managerial change ala
Yahoo. Then to buy back the stock at lower cost and to such a
volume that no rebellion against the powers that be were
possible.
By the end of July that phase of the plan will be
successful and there est of the plan will be revealed without
fear of backlash from those who otherwise would have had the
power to pull eBay back from the brink. Indeed, if you believe
the current changes are obvious signals that small sellers are
not wanted - be prepared - you have seen nothing yet.
So far
what have they done? All they have managed to do is silence a
seller’s ability to warn others about buyers (half of the
purpose behind the original idea of feedback), burden you with
higher and higher fees, dangle “treats” like
discounts while setting the bar of eligibility so high that the
rewards cannot be reached. and, by the way PayPal deals with
“complaints” leave you vulnerable to fraud. What if
worse was yet to come?
They know if you do not feel safe
that you will not use eBay. The changes that have been enacted
only eliminates the small sellers. Meanwhile they want to
eradicate the mid-sized seller too. And they want to ensure
that both do not return.
For the mid-sized seller the DSR
became the tool of choice. The powers that be raised the level
of what is a good seller artificially high. No manipulation is
required; they know exactly the effect of the policy. This is
why buyers are told that 4 is a good score and sellers are told
that 4.9 yields discounts and higher listing placements. As
long as that fractured point of view exists, eBay does not need
to interfere with the DSR as has been suggested, the buyers
will be killing the sellers naturally.
By August there will
be no pretense and the intentions of the new and improved eBay
will be clear. The following is only a partial list of the
rules that will be imposed. It comes from a memo that
circulated within my corner of the managerial department the
week before Chicago. I cannot be too specific about certain
items and I cannot reveal details of the latest additions
without endangering my anonymity.
1. Neutrals will be
converted to negatives complete with red icons and reduced
feedback scores. Afterward neutrals will not be offered as a
choice of feedback.
2. The entire process of feedback will
be automated. Buyers and sellers will chose standard feedback
from a list. For sellers this operation will be performed
automatically upon the buyer winning. For buyers there will be
an extra free line with which to add a few comments about the
seller without restriction to content. Replies will not be
allowed.
3. The implementation of a stricter rules regarding
shipping. From the boxes, packing, labels and tapes to where
you can buy postage. Orders have been placed for prototypes of
“eBay” boxes. UPS and FedEx will be instructed not
to accept “eBay” merchandise if it’s not
inside “eBay” boxing. They will know, of course,
because when sellers buy the “eBay” postage from
the “eBay” source, a detailed list of contents with
item numbers will be available to the shippers upon scanning a
bar code. As for those who continue to use USPS, another level
of quality control will be implemented - buyers will be asked,
upon confirmation of delivery, if the seller used “eBay”
standard shipping items. Naturally, no verification of the
buyer’s truthfulness will be attempted, and continued
‘infractions’ will result in suspension. eBay will
have other ways to check if a seller is not using the “eBay”
equipment - as they will be required to buy at cost the
supplies immediately after items are listed. (This is such a
large scale operation behind the scenes that I feel comfortable
sharing as much of it as I know.)
4. Sales taxes will be
included automatically; shipping cost and sales taxes will be
used to determined FVF.
5. Item descriptions will be
“standardized” with templates which include the
posting of a new, universal return policy. Only yearly
subscribers to the retail-outlet venue can opt out of these
universal return policies but even they cannot alter the
template structures being
devised.
6. Strikes against buyers will be eliminated as the
whole concept of a buyer and bidding will be altered. FVF will
be calculated when payment is submitted.
7. Time to Close
will be eliminated entirely. Best Match will be the
non-alterable default. Best Match is a system that caters to
the needs of shoppers not bidders.
8. Placement within Best
Match will be determined by several factors, the most important
of which will be the extra display features added onto the
listing.
9. DSRs can be removed by retailers and
powersellers who pay a certain yearly fee.
10. The end play
itself which consists of four phases: a) the main focus shifts
to retail sellers whose fees are on a per listing basis b)
stores will be replaced by a classified section, fees will be
based on yearly subscriptions and FVFs c) occasional auctions
will be conducted for unique items (celebrity auctions, items
that have been featured on the news, etc.) d) total elimination
of auctions for regular sellers.
From the point of view of
eBay’s agenda to change gears these alteration make
sense. The powers that be want to turn eBay into a retail venue
format. Therefore the “buyer” must be changed -
bidding and commitments to buy are part of the past. In a
retail venue, the item is either in your cart or not and you
only commit to buy when you pay at checkout. The seller is also
redefined in the way they will be required to do business. They
will be forced to copy the methods of retail stores.
The
goal is to become Amazon Lite. Unlike Amazon the merchandise
will be stocked by the retailers in their warehouses, eBay will
be just an electronic centralized venue for outlet sale - a
“trusted” name with a wide customer base and
popular name recognition.
That is the future and as I write
this I know that it cannot be stopped. There are no investors
with enough clout and will to challenge the CEO. Stock holders
will simply walk away. eBay will not sink, however, it will be
exactly in the position its rulers intend it to be at.
Sellers,
my advice is simple. You are not wanted. Leave. If you stay,
you will be crushed. Leave. Go away. You cannot win.
I am
sorry because for too long I have been a complicit tool behind
the scenes. I was part of those teams and think tanks that
spearheaded many of the “innovations” you know very
well and which will be used to destroy you. I know I will not
be believed. I will be mocked and ridiculed by the tools and
even those who are real, actual people will be hesitant to
accept what I have to say. What has been done to this
community, the plots and schemes hatched in meetings and across
memos, is far, far worse to endure within my soul than any
treatment I will receive at the hands of the tools by posting
this. You do not know how much they hate you. It is my
conscience that I want to clear going forward. Again I
apologize. There should have been a better way for the powers
that be to effect the change they wanted for eBay - instead
they succumbed to cloak and dagger deception.
Posted by ******** ******* at 9:11 AM